Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:51:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80,103.74
Unexplained QUAI: 105,682.1
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1239x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
185,785.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 185786 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
Net sender
Unknown type
80,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
80,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Net sender
Unknown type
103.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
149.94 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:50:19 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
185,785.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:51:42 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
13,310.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:49:02 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:52:55 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
8,538.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:47:39 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
164,696.93 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:54:11 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
196,270.62 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:55:23 P.M.
-5 min
10 tx
22,366.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:46:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
80,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:51:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
103.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0055005037a046c6bb890d89a22dd4d4f4404c2f224b5604e30e26c9f93b992a
80,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x00054502942e719260057BfA87a3E575a116a213
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002b00149ddcf026c3ab2dd45b3c7ac2f2c5892a8e2edbdce541db15b1751ca0