Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:47:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,838.15
Unexplained QUAI: 5,700.19
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
8,538.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 8538 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,697 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,697 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
82.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
82.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
58.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
10 tx
22,366.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:46:20 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
8,538.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:47:39 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:45:07 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
13,310.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:49:02 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
31,604.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:43:47 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
149.94 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:50:19 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
171.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:42:27 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate5 tx
185,785.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:51:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,697 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:47:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,697 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:47:53 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0062007f3e6cf138647063e5fc932beb386507dabf2078530d0644c5349e98d2
58.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:47:43 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x003b007bc91e517046326673af91ae3bc5072e87bb12b0a66aa1deadfabc5be5
82.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:47:05 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x001f002d7258692854f519e22dce95bfb268196600b661cd22d5f0be366e19d0