Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:45:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,366.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Balanced
Unknown type
19,997.2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,182.12 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Net sender
Unknown type
1,184.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00706d8bE2265f035e3b67FbbF789787380E2E0b
Net sender
Unknown type
840 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:45:07 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
31,604.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:43:47 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
22,366.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:46:20 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
171.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:42:27 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
8,538.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:47:39 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
338.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
13,310.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:49:02 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
6,589.48 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:39:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,999.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
49.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:57 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x004921149a43690D5029ec3c7FC4907327d5bfF1
Tx: 0x006a0030cda0679a009387db1c2e1948b0edc9c6c181c7179e216d28a9ac7834
9,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:57 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x0059006df4db05f1dcda807aae3229813c78f01e148cd31dfa00dbd634aa5264
98.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:28 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00090045c49d2f7ee7d57bb4e56784bf94a9aad50523b2b5a7ce925c0af727f9
840 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:28 P.M.
From: 0x00706d8bE2265f035e3b67FbbF789787380E2E0b
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x000c005dcb2819a2e35bfa14cd02d3d24f7a58a068ad55131cb2c3be76911ed8
50.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:28 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x00250036ce48ff79d131906f0909614d61534937cd9c12ae513e4ee66c444b1d
17.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002e005113c3dc7b854f2e0e62f5a982e78f7bc1fb18e08435e9c85b8e501870
23.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00200044a440cb90b04e4a205a8c4650f9be9480dc068847b6e5b8af40b34a7c
1,184.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00580029d45699d9bbd039838ddff7948b99988aff1de79f6f0147e0e13f621b
104.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Tx: 0x0074006c0ff202753c36e2c5c2a08e41cbfd390cc9ea107e3946595681b60d28
9,998.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0003000369007236ff6b241c869df48532c2855e5ccd83b0c7793e09a19f9789