Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:39:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,779.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
30x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
6,589.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6589 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,377.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,377.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
161.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,377.32 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
219.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:38:20 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
6,589.48 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:39:40 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,416.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:36:58 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
338.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
10,055.85 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:35:38 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
171.26 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:42:27 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
8,967.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:34:16 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
31,604.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:43:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
60.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:57 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0033003d7f157e072b145a1352dd254aaebb1d3b02596cf944fcf5c4eb3dd598
79.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:57 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x003c0064b7bd031cb2d972490d9673dc8a7755b0611973ecc46351c67d3865c6
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:57 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00090067fe65ea00692d896556ebb9132c0cb2098d2f61fb8dead370c908ee65
56.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007700210102a3447efa9f42499366dcd3ddfb9362a2314c387571c4e9d5a8ed
82.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x007c00365e6f87fe56e545e544d9377c5282210a27a4d277b4d1132364ed2479
72.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0017003206f55f2bd39b9917e9cf61cc896fc31d98d463575095c09465c15654
1,377.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050001dbc86073a50eee83661df6b4af6edb2e968728832fe1923443e0bd0ab
4,999.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:39:01 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0065bcac90c777e287c3ba1b0d161ad51be2a2a270df275ecb3a9e096ce2