Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:37:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 219.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
219.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 219 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
122.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
122.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
96.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
96.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,416.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:36:58 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
10,055.85 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:35:38 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
219.23 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:38:20 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
8,967.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:34:16 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
6,589.48 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:39:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
250.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:32:56 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
338.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,479.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:31:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
122.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:37:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
96.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:37:35 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0067003ba0605152474849eee7b864d78cc9282dd2fa488bbfd55009eb1195d7
122.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:37:31 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0029006af5171413ff2468473f3639b0b0c19ec2f0cc5fa5d6dc501f1842d0bc