Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:33:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,967.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
8,967.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8967 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
8,967.35 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,117.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,378.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
471.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
250.94 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:32:56 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15,479.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:31:37 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8,967.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:34:16 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
66.99 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:30:17 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
10,055.85 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:35:38 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
3,805.72 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:28:54 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,416.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:36:58 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate18 tx
24,714.95 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:27:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:33:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
471.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:33:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x005d000286d45b98652c5443826abb7b0b618f0cca2e007634fa44367dc0625f
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:33:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0016001aaf55a161e2ce80ead6ee604bddd9ff1e438e469e467f462b9a0a232b
1,378.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:33:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Tx: 0x0006006bb08940991f3a0397fbcd1611c20c05d129c21915e5ea066b8c34e0da
2,117.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:33:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Tx: 0x001a004a026817950c53436a02032cf512d5f722ad5960f62bc783c74a55f803
