Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,934.82
Unexplained QUAI: 32,560.46
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
14
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
50,495.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 50495 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,422.84 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Net sender
Unknown type
1,699.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,540.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net sender
Unknown type
1,530.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001A363027873dA54b8b6f478d44050E5D1b4e6f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,515.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,422.84 QUAI
From exchange: 1,185.3 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate21 tx
639,540.52 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:22:21 P.M.
+1 min
28 tx
50,495.28 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:21:10 P.M.
+2 min
31 tx
43,177.71 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:24:51 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
25,500 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:19:59 P.M.
+3 min
35 tx
45,442.45 QUAI • 51 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:26:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
195.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:18:47 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
10,275.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:17:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,699.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
1,443.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c004fadd669b6f970ab4aa78b126d19941f36cfa586afa49dc8fe47fb9dc0
1,484.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000026d058d322fe6204a0b47d95502490997db5be7b98265d69e69b161b8e
1,472.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580040e7e29bbbc8cefa6292f28089f99d74bcf8ca57de771063c644aeba5a
1,450.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076004e42ff37a1170118d22925c0cf558ad36f15e86aa51d57bd043390ff05
115.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00240072ad3dd95b6f524ab80e6a67340919d750cb674fe8d5d197344ff618fb
1,699.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00405d848b7f178334f071cede933d59aa197cff71019ac17486acd6f58d
1,540.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0066e4081031e109830ae61BDC5B2a32f2BE9243
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d006928905c846e8b58edc73e3804e2c126bbc8d687bb560545562d165f5d
1,515.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x001A363027873dA54b8b6f478d44050E5D1b4e6f
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050004872e868651397586028b11206acdace6bd7811d836e3c3cf6c5d9f523
1,530.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070002fa172ee103934f8f5f84463126b87caa2f47903787f4dfa72983fac8a
1,421.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030059809eaa7e60d1c0f71ccebeb006e01cd7e5c9e93494f68d9854e27f67
1,474.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00589686e5bbe9b97433a2ad613540e99e6446dd7856a111e80893555267
1,185.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Tx: 0x001200239b177243ab7cdc38d748d506024cfb5025b135d233483e37757845de
211.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0048004f9b1b3783c12b7399b8edcf980d588ffb3cdd2ddfe5152f45373c2ad5
1,390.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700589c5fab809a33473d0673d80e99fd7a30c655a51a0cd70705e2c9e19a
