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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,934.82
Unexplained QUAI: 32,560.46
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
14
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
50,495.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 50495 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,422.84 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Net sender
Unknown type
1,699.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,540.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net sender
Unknown type
1,530.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001A363027873dA54b8b6f478d44050E5D1b4e6f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,515.95 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,422.84 QUAI
From exchange: 1,185.3 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

14 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 28. The remaining 14 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,699.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

14 transactions
1,443.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c004fadd669b6f970ab4aa78b126d19941f36cfa586afa49dc8fe47fb9dc0
Open txWallet profile
1,484.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000026d058d322fe6204a0b47d95502490997db5be7b98265d69e69b161b8e
Open txWallet profile
1,472.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580040e7e29bbbc8cefa6292f28089f99d74bcf8ca57de771063c644aeba5a
Open txWallet profile
1,450.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076004e42ff37a1170118d22925c0cf558ad36f15e86aa51d57bd043390ff05
Open txWallet profile
115.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00240072ad3dd95b6f524ab80e6a67340919d750cb674fe8d5d197344ff618fb
1,699.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00405d848b7f178334f071cede933d59aa197cff71019ac17486acd6f58d
Open txWallet profile
1,540.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0066e4081031e109830ae61BDC5B2a32f2BE9243
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d006928905c846e8b58edc73e3804e2c126bbc8d687bb560545562d165f5d
Open txWallet profile
1,515.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x001A363027873dA54b8b6f478d44050E5D1b4e6f
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050004872e868651397586028b11206acdace6bd7811d836e3c3cf6c5d9f523
Open txWallet profile
1,530.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070002fa172ee103934f8f5f84463126b87caa2f47903787f4dfa72983fac8a
Open txWallet profile
1,421.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030059809eaa7e60d1c0f71ccebeb006e01cd7e5c9e93494f68d9854e27f67
Open txWallet profile
1,474.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00589686e5bbe9b97433a2ad613540e99e6446dd7856a111e80893555267
Open txWallet profile
1,185.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x002a813475d4116D69CD81DD56e005663F485E49
Tx: 0x001200239b177243ab7cdc38d748d506024cfb5025b135d233483e37757845de
Open txWallet profile
211.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0048004f9b1b3783c12b7399b8edcf980d588ffb3cdd2ddfe5152f45373c2ad5
Open txWallet profile
1,390.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700589c5fab809a33473d0673d80e99fd7a30c655a51a0cd70705e2c9e19a
Open txWallet profile