Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,028.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
53x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
3,028.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3029 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,707.24 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22
Net sender
Unknown type
1,657.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
1,161.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,161.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
84.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,161.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,355.17 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:13:54 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
57.56 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:12:41 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,028.56 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:15:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
395.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:16:21 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:11:29 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
11.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:10:17 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,275.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:17:36 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
118.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:09:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,657.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
18.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074006a608683eff111fc8b2daf0648649addc4f61bdaeaa1a2fff555a1faaa
18.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00630030fa3d1de78cc80cc9f104952b5da12535babbffe86667715e13d6f8ad
1,657.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00280079974d87bd7cabcc86ccddb8795c2b82bbdd83f10d7ec1e0c80c89178e
12.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:57 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007500495f5116fcdafabbd8e16f865ebf3f9e158e2e15aee2c2c47fb78305ab
3.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x003c004da6246b8cb275ca2333e81deb7ada2b8384745b3b87cab3cee88d19eb
1,161.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:32 P.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d000c7a131d13a1f37c5135284d8bdee93e791c7599e102447aa78b8b219a
71.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00470013279596dac0e3bb183f8d70a894046ee58e8116ddd442f8b050efd29f
84.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007d0078d5bf116715dff9b255fea5b98efd42ad4582ac6060d8b060f88a96eb
