Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:07:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,575.7
Unexplained QUAI: 2,167.91
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
3
21.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
3,743.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3744 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Net sender
Unknown type
1,300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,300 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
217.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
217.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
57.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
121.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate14 tx
3,743.61 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:07:53 P.M.
-2 min
53 tx
2,119.27 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:05:29 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
118.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:09:04 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:04:13 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
11.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:10:17 P.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,262.82 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:02:57 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:11:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:07:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:07:35 P.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Tx: 0x006c007b3e485b1d4a2f065af3acbf80177d3bd367ad5308f66213c2059e54fa
57.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:07:25 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00600000711d4faa63bc8911b8166e8b8ac0eb55b2425e54a4ad35dd09e5526f
217.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:07:25 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0016007105cbd643b1b30e8928731d9bde473c03efd01927ecb24f7aa04a59b4