Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 3:00:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 877
Unexplained QUAI: 1,010
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.9x previous minute
15x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,887 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1887 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
377 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
377 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
1,887 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:00:29 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:59:18 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:58:07 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
125.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:01:45 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
253 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:56:56 P.M.
+3 min
53 tx
1,262.82 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:02:57 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
518.74 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:55:37 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/15/2026, 3:04:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:00:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:00:14 P.M.
From: 0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00370053bdffe221cceb38ed0a435fed6217a73aecd5e7b3fae83aaf8e7c4f59
377 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 3:00:06 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00090029ae9f1cad293f7f74ab313f65d37874e6428b70f5b4954fb4875fff40