Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:51:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 298.81
Unexplained QUAI: 723.2
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,022.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1022 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 -> 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
209.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
209.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
87.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
87.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00713586618dC64c76F49A5D2f4EB837254DADda
Net sender
Unknown type
1.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 → 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
2 repeated flows • 209.98 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
1,971.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:50:39 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,022.01 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:51:57 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:49:27 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:53:10 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
1,068.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:48:16 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
173.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:54:24 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
63.85 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:46:57 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
518.74 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:55:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
120 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:51:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:51:50 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x002b002fa70b5248bd46d7ceaa5fcbd4d998254d3df6c42a09b78cbc6815174f
87.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:51:04 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007700454828e15b18bc99a41980fd12647f25705ec9908e8c6391fe32ef15da
1.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:51:04 P.M.
From: 0x00713586618dC64c76F49A5D2f4EB837254DADda
To: 0x0056C742a880eC0A55b87Db3a893F2a92E94dD89
Tx: 0x0015006b62caacb2d0b070f90ec2edf381d3249fa7712d3a25834446f7ead241
89.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:51:04 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x001e006e6bc7b387e95f016ea726c16b4dc1ecb61f0add4b6ea950bf2abaefd6