Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:44:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
45% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 148.83
Unexplained QUAI: 184.88
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
111x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
333.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 334 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
112.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
35.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
35.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
333.71 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:03 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:44 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,385.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:24 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
140.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:24 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
63.85 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:46:57 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
248.72 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:40:04 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
1,068.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:48:16 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate6 tx
6,331.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:38:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.42 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:44:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
112.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:44:24 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000a0077eed49e2e8a23f7fb645192457faf9bb2bfeb84c3f1dcf1bd5ec2b559
35.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:44:24 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00110002192e7217b2b62cc0be772ed25b73944d085432b7e9a3544751262706
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:44:24 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x00243882cd0468Fc5131AB1b6b12d3A1c846A5bC
Tx: 0x005c006dce1a6caa4aabec5e1699f379fc2d261fb91ca3c0e22147ecc5f81f3a