Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 333.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
333.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7 • 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 334 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7 • 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
Net receiver
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
100.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
83.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:42:44 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
333.71 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:44:03 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
140.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:41:24 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
1,385.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:45:24 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
248.72 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:40:04 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
6,331.22 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:38:44 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
63.85 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:46:57 P.M.
+5 min
5 tx
1,068.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:48:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
150 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
100.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:43:07 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00540019cec7f5d23c27417761cbd65936f30f6cdda628023509b9411d3d7437
83.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x0069005120175651dbe16c5392247d3ce871af2c5e88ff11b76c9f0f2919b9d5
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x0067C8E6e9A7ed32b1a56B1A9DEcB36e3E1587a6
Tx: 0x000d00168fdc8aedc0ec81d7c1371fcedc37a194b463463a4e9f53a43c557710