Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 573.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
573.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 573 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
418.1 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
144.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
134.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
108.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
104.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 418.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
481.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:08:28 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
573.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:09:47 P.M.
-2 min
32 tx
950.42 QUAI • 48 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:07:08 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:11:09 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
81.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:05:56 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,277.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:12:29 P.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,016.62 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:04:38 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
460.44 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 2:13:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
134.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
134.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0065003c5a52ba4d49a155f94550dd07a64514935d74399d631c8ce94f398f4e
104.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0049d33f81817300e19d269ae4d9efb690ba837a82ab9be5cb2d502956a7
103.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110014e7984fb286d5638aa029adc5c9cb0fcd9ad3a9c17e5222b05efb7534
101.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0054f2afcaedc15231b6ef931deb99f334e5517be89f665dbce9a3e39819
108.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0021642fea43be112b0846bdfec80821194d3a83ebe6d0930d1df51b6244
10.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007100324bc72f690c0a1378be7e5d012e939aa54bd29bc5f859a9c458938f00
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 2:09:24 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0070003d31ad5343058519ea8561cf2a329a9c5484ecc7c7f8f3175f8fb6a5a9