Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:51:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,792.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004193EE114AfCb40799d8F06dED6DF109588466 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004193EE114AfCb40799d8F06dED6DF109588466 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004193EE114AfCb40799d8F06dED6DF109588466
Net sender
Unknown type
3,136.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,136.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068084e0FD382683486F1d21471faBb336A1BfF
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
655.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,136.79 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
331.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:49:54 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
9,286.97 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:52:29 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
5,303.32 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:48:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:53:42 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
723.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:47:21 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
81.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:55:02 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
137.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:46:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,136.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004193EE114AfCb40799d8F06dED6DF109588466
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
From: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
To: 0x0068084e0FD382683486F1d21471faBb336A1BfF
Tx: 0x004b0026690b1270161f600a65ea397d343dc6309e407c42fc77c2f8045d54f5
51.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00590006e1d9edabdc68fb6bbbb270a280117d6e0af1ff32b233a07decad389e
3,136.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
From: 0x004193EE114AfCb40799d8F06dED6DF109588466
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019000175855e9f56189219b35d44d6fc2927973fe9b7de1b9abe6146a38675
604.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0064007bcae6f153e4f8e6080a481be4f7069b7de8afafe80f1de4953839799f