Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:47:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 303.32
Unexplained QUAI: 420.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
5.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
723.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 723 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net sender
Unknown type
303.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
303.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
723.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:47:21 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
137.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:46:09 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
3,593.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:44:57 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
5,303.32 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:48:41 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
304.32 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:43:40 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
331.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:49:54 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:51:13 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
132.75 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:42:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
303.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:47:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
303.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:47:33 P.M.
From: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0020002ae53281a8a6a3725b258bc049e3340bf0dfe03fabb5581e9eb5efa081