Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:43:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
93% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 283.9
Unexplained QUAI: 20.43
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
304.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 304 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
118.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
118.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
95.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
95.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
69.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
132.75 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:42:22 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
304.32 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:43:40 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
37.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:41:05 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
3,593.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:44:57 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,401.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:39:45 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
137.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:46:09 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
723.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:47:21 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
41.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:38:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
118.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:43:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
118.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:43:48 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006b001d4ec273a6fc0ccb602cf60762342cfd4dbf633d89e1a5957533dc3039
95.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:43:48 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x0072004d06151c1feec819362032f556dab5ff2ecdecb8368dbd2ac2f97d4f4c
69.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:43:48 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0065b9955E18F086d5bDF946fe2851C152Ee342D
Tx: 0x007700087dc5dc4d9dffd6321ebff3176d4bd2a6b3dcd619d0d089ee432cea58