Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:41:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 111.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
37.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6 • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 37 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6 • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
84.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
46.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
38.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
26.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
37.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:41:05 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,401.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:39:45 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
132.75 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:42:22 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
41.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:38:28 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
304.32 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:43:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
175.83 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:37:11 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
3,593.48 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:44:57 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
124.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:35:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
46.44 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:41:54 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
26.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:41:54 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00090018362756f7e1d70359d428e7a83ecbf143af272de0fcd92e7256542cf7
46.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:41:54 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x00620040158838ee1ac5540101bf9057d300146829c736974bbe02ea5fae0333
38.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:41:19 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0050006802ea1ae37fe2395f19d66876cc3e8a5ac47e9b683e82b21e82504ed3
