Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:33:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:34:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,350.7
Unexplained QUAI: 11,335.95
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
7.2x above local average
78x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
19,686.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 19687 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
8,287.72 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,714.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00180fF0E774EeE8693A7c677b3967Ea2220e5D9
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,069.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
303.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate9 tx
19,686.66 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:33:19 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
252.38 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:31:57 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,136.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:30:41 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:34:38 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
124.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:35:55 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
158.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:29:17 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
175.83 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:37:11 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
337.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:27:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
62.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007000155bd0cd5bc7722d093329a829f5cfe35aac9096ac8537a3bfdc0411a0
1,069.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00180fF0E774EeE8693A7c677b3967Ea2220e5D9
Tx: 0x002f0061d4a5d6d785d8c3e069a2dda1aede74ddd623a3b618462fe188d0791a
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x007f004ffc1ee2fc1f1f196555b9b818824e2e90d34ec33a3bf71725f587b834
1,714.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Tx: 0x00220024e67106cf34e21b328987ee48c1f24bdd33a9060202889d587a58a589
303.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x003000259713b392d26f6036c4d131e6fe0c9cb7483b1ab89c22c1af9b3afc1f
200.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:33:11 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0002C927952814a83f769805E0ac347879e5f760
Tx: 0x002c006d499807c42c15eaa90049c4c24c8e6b7aa21b20f8ad1dafb3bca1b0ec