Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:25:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
73% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 92.88
Unexplained QUAI: 34.79
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
127.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 128 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (27% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.88 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
34.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
19.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
16.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
12.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
127.68 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:25:21 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
147.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:24:05 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
443.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:22:48 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
374.3 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:26:40 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
78,441.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:21:31 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
337.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:27:59 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
158.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:29:17 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
236.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:20:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
34.24 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
19.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002b006733656bb8495a7edad5fd20253d87cc33c5c44a6ef6e74aca213dfe94
16.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c000aff2927f3b21fe833a4d2a63a8746d73dd8c8c43d83bf5db37bb3ae22
12.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d0009ffba635f2aa7bc28488aa19673b632ea9e3a15d45859c058b709c884
9.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x00233D0676F3f67302cffF9D9aB9291Eb3dc7883
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0077004284d7199171a93a63900a4b91d781c534b360ed54aa7ac03dde1271dd
34.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150058fbe4959b5f60c95ac8f0d511d4f4ecc9b106bbc133d6f038fc91b300