Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 1:08:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 589.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
589.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 589 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
447.82 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae
Net sender
Unknown type
241.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
137.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
106.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 447.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:07:50 P.M.
-1 min
20 tx
1,228.66 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:06:33 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
589.32 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:09:04 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10.17 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:10:18 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
974.36 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:05:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:04:10 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:11:33 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate53 tx
2,012.7 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/15/2026, 1:02:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
241.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
241.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:45 P.M.
From: 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005400183a4d5122ef0a8825151c22ed6fc1d370e4140b9c7190ad34de2e80f4
99.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:45 P.M.
From: 0x0079aA7CC4F9315aE17C6A6B429f2008D4aBD379
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00100053f5c4c103757194e8ef46d28075a57c3d94ff4e59d8c7c2b5315b9df1
106.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:45 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00220056ed6ac7675bf304d1a1578f11445ba8dc9941e6204842287e6db2694f
137.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0004003260e1950f9bd68f1c9a673b32bf984515b66cc8e22ad7f45d426cf02b
3.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 1:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x007349Ed7Db08d1bAb80D07b8C67a2A9216cE2d6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x005b0032dadff623d35c95e274335672f5559ccae9f021d0a36e5d69b76bb20c