Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:51:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 279.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
20x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
279.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 280 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.81 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
128.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
76.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
52.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
13.93 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:50:29 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
279.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:51:52 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
36.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:49:18 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
88.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:53:11 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
294.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:47:58 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,985.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:46:44 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:54:30 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:45:32 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
85 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
52.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x005f0009df13ca6ce382b05312360b96f264cdda109116082f1ba23ecb7e3ac8
76.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0053003ae4fa455fb5c24cd87f16205e728431ed3a44f72a349af63138f4a949
13.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00660020a2f94d10297860d78212ee22f1b4ba31067fb8428dd19f26504fa3d6
52.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0034006298efe41ddc702e23068b156d22bdf29c2399fd1f839902d8cfc44932
85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:51:36 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x0050006eb252bd0b43150c43f6423c3c77e0270145a4776641fe56072eef641f