Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:38:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,850.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
3.3x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,850 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2850 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE
Net sender
Unknown type
2,850 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,850 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,850 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:38:12 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
852.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:36:55 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5,063.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:39:23 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
468.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:35:38 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
223.43 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:40:43 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
13,359.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:34:19 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,589.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:41:56 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
158.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:33:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:38:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4,999.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:38:52 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000200042c39740c57753004afd5d57dc3aa95ccd140f6fc16c630ebd3b1ac08
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:38:52 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004d0073a646acda485f31ba242667be6c4c5666aa92910794fbd7990bfb1101
2,850 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:38:01 P.M.
From: 0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE
To: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Tx: 0x004e004f6ac6dd7b40cdf0492dcb2e527b1bede82ba66ad9706fa62dba4e9d30