Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:33:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,359.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.6x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
158.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 159 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22.
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
13,237.89 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,457.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007b50A4ACBC9223D6A14a6EADf44AFd1d88cC1A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,068.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
712.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
158.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:33:06 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
61.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:31:49 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
13,359.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:34:19 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:30:38 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
468.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:35:38 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
330 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:29:25 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
852.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:36:55 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
41.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:28:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,457.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:56 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0023006ab9be8aa0bc878a6de780e11d8a95f7b67b691b2c0cd1a9be0076b955
85.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:30 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0044000c682d73e965c8b4252e58d69d301c259e7a67609534620df1569d94a0
33.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:30 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x00640075afcc213759fd6dfbbe2f765a1ed95797cc65672d290cb91d7640d4ab
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:30 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0033007ab1c05a57a07035112127989390757dc787c2dd08b4bdecfb1f9d471c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:30 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x0010002194f32c93ca4188829cf11bd32013061e90aba2446713c86d10b09256
712.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:16 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x004894e7C041BaC2a4575241c0Ec96DDd37866e0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x006a00166d43ae29b67eb2b67e36f63f72b82ee0753191a947976f1b67b1cb08
6,457.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:16 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0028fba05a9AFE68250b224E858F8892F200CA22
Tx: 0x0066005f5c3dd08ff9029a9997af4068d1357313b71686fb08452549c7e0502e
1,068.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:16 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x007b50A4ACBC9223D6A14a6EADf44AFd1d88cC1A
Tx: 0x005e0025d01df44b6db31337ecada0f3543372011d610e55ea22493025b27697
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:33:16 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x002e005709db2a03f90de1abe4236b1b99b818d0cb478661e54b6d5d25828dc4