Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:24:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 42.42
Unexplained QUAI: 107.02
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.8x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
149.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 149 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
29.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
7.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
Net sender
Unknown type
3.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
149.44 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:24:21 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
52.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:21:43 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
108.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:25:35 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
671.95 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:26:55 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
77.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:20:24 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
41.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:28:06 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,309.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:19:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
29.83 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:24:54 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
29.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:24:54 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00010030a65afdcdaebfa7529f41cca090e0d19090f544a789e382acf428a3a8
3.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:24:54 P.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b00018c6057a9b81f5b19bd17178f23f214b04f241b1379b21111a01a00cc
7.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:24:54 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b00198e52a17412910c8f4f74912ffb3b7483f4a61ff5836b80a4eb7a9ad5
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:24:18 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x001e00342bfc8b49a346fcc028f0987928b098f9b58ef05138f8dc42bb3f52ca