Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 149.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
52.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 53 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
110.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
87.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
38.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
38.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
22.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
52.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:21:43 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
149.44 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:24:21 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
77.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:20:24 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
108.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:25:35 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,309.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:19:04 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
671.95 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:26:55 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:17:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
87.9 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:23:53 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
87.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:23:53 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x001200427a5d927a6121aee0cb0a20258066365585a5ec7068a499e5549df271
38.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0047003f3c79b7dc8723346748646b4f3c153cf4aa8e7cd7fe4be15f6eb2e3db
22.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x005b001a6a3b86d82c0b16c82ed79ffaf8eb949a0d6183692a765d86d35c944c
