Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:19:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 76.12
Unexplained QUAI: 1,233.39
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
17x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,309.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1310 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
55.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
19.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,309.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:19:04 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:17:45 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
77.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:20:24 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,394.37 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:16:18 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:21:43 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
20.06 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:14:54 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
52.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
149.44 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:24:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:19:29 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
55.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:19:29 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0001007673b5ae0bc50f218c90d53d2693ac82beafab64f7865a05f0310d3119
19.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:19:29 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004600317192efe261dfca87679d666816e1d53bdcbc8b3e98e7b81265580d97
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:19:29 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x0071002b1da815fe091b33c9d39b8cc4bd218e7839d384fa9382cc1cdff1b995