Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 12:08:00 P.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 711.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
154.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 154 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
513.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
200.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
110.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
Net sender
Unknown type
102.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Net sender
Unknown type
100.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 513.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
154.35 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:08:09 P.M.
-1 min
26 tx
782.32 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:06:50 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
711.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:09:29 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate52 tx
5,792.28 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:05:33 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
57.44 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:10:49 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
780.53 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:04:11 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:12:09 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
709.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:02:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
75.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x004700146bc89fdbc6d7c500e8b8cfc22e98cbd6765b888b8458cc504379cfa2
54.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:55 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0020007a914ec7bca48598a27c3e798c6b7f7095afba76c0ecfbd1fecbb92425
34.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:49 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005a003ba0074e2a262a874c782673f7cdc18280c5bdf6d27bf86811b454a11e
102.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:29 P.M.
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063007ec20925ee817d5971c80a7934d819e0d3e8a5b39617699131e1918e51
110.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:29 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074003d67cc875d6e34e7a54c22562c30c74f2aa75292274342471487375c41
100.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:29 P.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007400746399d7526ecdafd320967852ecad5472f321801a7eb3730c3925da1d
200.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:29 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006200694d60cdf9365c6129dde144b3c91e8b72e4295b6fadde3dd03c256187
33.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 12:08:15 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x007c0022a07d89877f37a85fe44a67eff9647d307e99d8a36956e1fb17358864