Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:59:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22.68
Unexplained QUAI: 41.73
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
64.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 64 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
22.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
64.41 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:59:03 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
12,970.59 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:57:50 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
22.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:00:20 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:56:30 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
123.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:01:36 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
340.38 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:55:09 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
709.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 12:02:54 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
12,952.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:53:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
22.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:59:38 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
22.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:59:38 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x000d0066a60adcd20e71ea4751e40667fd49787ac2bf51dca2f9a5c08a82d2d5