Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:47:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 83.69
Unexplained QUAI: 316.31
Explained QI: 3.4
Unexplained QI: 296.61
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
400 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 400 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
83.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
83.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
3.4 QI across 1 visible row
0x00B8b3D63643eA7a5eCFEEd0b6659e3B9fa955ed
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.4 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
400 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:47:11 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
2,091.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,977.55 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:48:29 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
170 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:44:40 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:49:50 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
346.87 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:43:16 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
52.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:51:08 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
127.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:41:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
83.69 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:47:34 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
83.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:47:34 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0050007cadc454fc44ed69b5c166b6d81f0d20f172cf8afb4d0d0b55fb04fae8
3.4 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:47:22 A.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x00B8b3D63643eA7a5eCFEEd0b6659e3B9fa955ed
Tx: 0x004b009a33091c629c60b4253804d92c73f36e5978f047bfae6cf3294daf0954