Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:46:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 300
Unexplained QUAI: 1,791.84
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 3.39
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
12x previous minute
5.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
1
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,091.84 QUAI
3.39 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2092 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2,091.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
170 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:44:40 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
400 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:47:11 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,977.55 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:48:29 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
346.87 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:43:16 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
127.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:41:54 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:49:50 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate4 tx
3,745.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:40:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:46:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:46:57 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0027007539e259e6673d34405e339ae15c709b19a3045d2fe3af964685f68e83
