Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:39:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,745.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
2.5x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,381.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2382 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,317.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
2,138.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,178.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003E504e3Aa7b9d4f621727F0d0b027eb638527e
Net sender
Unknown type
359 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00735F0fa34E443ca47d6caF72A454e43Ff4d0e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
359 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,317.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,381.73 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:39:14 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
967.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:37:55 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
187.99 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:36:35 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,745.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:40:32 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
127.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:41:54 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,095.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:35:18 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
346.87 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:43:16 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate6 tx
5,258.9 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:34:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,138.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:39:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
68.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x0019006b7f663214efaf3fa02371b8f54edd1eb3fbc62679fbd8c96b0a95ff87
2,138.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068003449e6c2c58f26c61922a6715f6306ac34159278f299ba899b132d1362
1,178.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032001c7be0798098807454f11b1ec8ee0d5af5b4c5e07776a2f60f78af1a98
359 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x003E504e3Aa7b9d4f621727F0d0b027eb638527e
To: 0x00735F0fa34E443ca47d6caF72A454e43Ff4d0e4
Tx: 0x0044003b713185c4e21463830592b6280b2538a77549a438ba7069bdfe944591