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Spike bucket

09/15/2026, 11:28:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/15/2026, 11:28:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
82% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,488.22
Unexplained QUAI: 3,000
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
4.4x above local average
160x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
16,488.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 16488 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
6,318.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,318.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
Net sender
Unknown type
6,060 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,029.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

6,318.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
6,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
Tx: 0x0053002eff5fd326a7fd7a0728f4c60787056996f51fbbee35d38930d43f4e0e
60 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x000b002fc8f6e7837e1a1ff6eba241fd6df4f21d3a989f8b8ebaa3862a25b836
29.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x002d004d7f0e46dde587835d6b582249b17d2d9b8609b23dad427eadfe1f95d0
70.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0045001cf3e4ee5eaa8b6654c02c98117a9ccf031843408a302004582ad08648
10.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00790074c67fd4b215447ba58906cff190730c88a2fa8953279afe2ea34e205e
6,318.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Tx: 0x0007001362377ee4d8547c98e64c86f0c4a99ba84050b4b326b9e8241949772f
Open txWallet profile
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:28:28 A.M.
From: 0x0035B73754A36988169840Beff72B2cB4c46B842
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x004f005cbc1dfafc1dbf3dedfb515460c9e60061855aa2f04bb6aafeac12b224