Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:22:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
78% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 203.84
Unexplained QUAI: 56.64
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
260.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 260 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
103.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
99.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
102.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:21:13 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
260.48 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:22:33 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
356 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:19:54 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
126.4 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:23:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
6,309.27 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:18:33 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
104.28 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:24:55 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
44.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:26:07 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
366.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:17:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
103.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:22:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
99.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:22:40 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x006f002085e226b1227f7b911e1c2b36a9b740cdd2fefd151e5a35dcc3b8b79d
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:22:40 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00690054874de5b67d2688b87ba389016cf44e1fd1361ff414b7824ff42dcb84
103.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:22:27 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x00630044808147dd79b5ebdaae72e29a88f4a8e2688d625a2225a3507b556818