Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:18:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 162.69
Unexplained QUAI: 6,146.58
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
17x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
6,309.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6309 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
88.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
23.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
366.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:17:20 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
6,309.27 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:18:33 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate6 tx
28,294.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:16:07 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
356 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:19:54 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,451.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:14:55 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
102.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:21:13 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,745.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:13:44 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
197.01 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:12:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
88.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:18:41 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
23.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:18:41 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x001d004241145400d281a2fb44b87563dc96c73becbeab01cb69357c4faf3203
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:18:41 A.M.
From: 0x0078019764cdC73cC880Eb30450d904049a5158c
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x004f00228388e1d8a2e74474098f3c8c82cffc8f22eda73e49535520322ed523
88.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:18:41 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Tx: 0x001a00207179029444b7991dab9b59fb643c687dbfe2ee8a934edc6f09b1e327
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:18:41 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005b007cb1c77615e2f95353877263112d25cec7b1994317aa6a6d7d5f78f5d9