Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:16:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 366.1
Unexplained QUAI: 27,928.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
5.8x above local average
19x previous minute
77x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
28,294.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28294 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709 • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Net receiver
Unknown type
295.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
170 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
97.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
68.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
28,294.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:16:07 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,451.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:14:55 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
366.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:17:20 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
1,745.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:13:44 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
197.01 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:12:32 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
6,309.27 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:18:33 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
356 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:19:54 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:11:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
170 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
28.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x004a001f1f26cbe10a892a1d1053d5ad72ab1a4814e483583cfac00a9ff5001f
97.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x007b0029f80470ae48e4f0b473bd5c2797c42ca246d51bb1b259105c5a1d2d59
68.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006100742a4fa38e95720032abb4a0d0a08910fb70259b940e66e6cdf8ad519d
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x005f00784062e156d834ce00923d9356261520b39c7bc2b0747594ed8653dbc1
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003d000e095bacb94c3f59aa4d33dee9456c4436a200b7bfe1ef109c4500471d
170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:16:14 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x005305493551EEa470315D01b69B22d5A95cE709
Tx: 0x00280067b92bfcd4f571bf39980caa5a82aebdfc59899c5e4eb42e6f448131a5