Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:12:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
99% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 195.41
Unexplained QUAI: 1.61
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
197.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 197 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
Net sender
Unknown type
100.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
73.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
73.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
20.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:11:18 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
197.01 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:12:32 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
38.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:10:06 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,745.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:13:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
30,221.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:08:55 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,451.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:14:55 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
114.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:07:44 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
28,294.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:16:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:12:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
73.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:12:55 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00790051c4182ecf9b9fd50ed54b3ae97888961f36d7408f0c251b36537d4f98
20.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:12:55 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00080003505f49b1a9d3800158d93ae81b13c97627bf9bdab998aabf1b09fcf1
100.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:12:25 A.M.
From: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0025007ae64bf3f85151486d0b54f7a5b284772fbe19519b572a6d9b58c0082a