Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 113.8
Unexplained QUAI: 4,428.88
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
5.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
2
7.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
4,542.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4543 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
101.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
Net receiver
Unknown type
101.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
53 tx
910.18 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:05:19 A.M.
+1 min
26 tx
4,542.68 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:06:32 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
9,503.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:04:07 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
114.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:07:44 A.M.
-3 min
53 tx
29,701.48 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:02:55 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
30,221.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:08:55 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
27,789.31 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:01:42 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
38.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 11:10:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.8 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:06:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
101.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:06:38 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
Tx: 0x003a004e28b0bf967d74e0b0e2b9fed836b2cd94fe32b934eab5fb535fc41952
12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 11:06:38 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007d0021d8e0f5c70e8f53b29028d20e733109a2a6220c2203a414c7a25dea1c