Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 10:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,284.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
10,284.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 10284 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,284.39 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
Net sender
Unknown type
1,704.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Bfe95E7bA40A545e2009F96088617A5f61f46
Net sender
Unknown type
1,478.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006df598d0033d918deb0b9006880B384Cad3E5a
Net sender
Unknown type
1,374.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,230.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,284.39 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:44:45 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
9,999.14 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:43:34 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
10,284.39 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:45:57 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
24,190.87 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:47:10 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:42:23 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
5,498.47 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:48:22 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate30 tx
30,437.32 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:41:07 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:39:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,704.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
510.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:36 A.M.
From: 0x0000B8d2bbc8298639c7c40410cDAD7bC93A8442
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d002b3b8d4cbcfdd5c65519dc342fd82a3f3de03c69964275a805033a29bf
1,148.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x00599ae3fEc85eE89A0894D7a72c1D4af5b5783D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0014cb2a710a5228fa081161cb10e448c09074d682433bcdc9048cfd4345
530.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110040d9fd1e51585a0d4c6a2be86184a85537e0bbaed9ef29604a58437127
1,230.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000900669239fd7aa748f826b8056008e6a8d710613afaaf4b56ac496d6cd8dd
1,704.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026001913d551829122beda2fced5e01b12b1cdd9f8c19562e51f5e7c1cd1eb
606.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c00345277835b6f1b8fc57d7d1d6c6fb16c7544f854254eb6cd15c377e216
1,374.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x006df598d0033d918deb0b9006880B384Cad3E5a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180065ac67d844c46499558f70717c24fe9382e876c5ae976d6d0a5e4a3ae5
569.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e006084b69811fdae17808372ca6da0d6414c2575ef02208966d73a0c5aaf
1,131.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x0040894A8b38380EECF5E1634AA38c828f1b208a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019001adb77861a205e46762150042583b6845efb0d73e27129d721ce82b755
1,478.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
From: 0x006Bfe95E7bA40A545e2009F96088617A5f61f46
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270070f59b70646e17e1a5212f895d56fd8088e4e7ca6a7bb29c2e30fda7ee