Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 10:24:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,507.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
508.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0061B5A775d4ae473CF20AC3CAEed9fa78be2613
Net sender
Unknown type
500.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
4.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:24:06 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:22:54 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
20,507.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:25:19 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:21:42 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
119,303.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:26:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:27:42 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:19:15 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:28:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.14 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00240005ce0304acc587e9ca89c8201bbf8fc9787a94d480cc9905056f3f0ea1
500.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
From: 0x0061B5A775d4ae473CF20AC3CAEed9fa78be2613
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00000074396d1045c4bcd8ef07a54cc07ef98e35eb43a038066cc468e03eb491
3.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f0044047c4c702e13a8b459209e5154c0149aee415bea579394ff0dc666a4
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e0025ddd0cfb4027f43e8c086cbd84d6c59b8d6193e6e7e3ee4d5f68f8e96