Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 10:12:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 10:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 41,498.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
2.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
41,498.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 41499 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
21,498.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,498.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:11:56 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:10:41 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
41,498.87 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:13:07 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:14:18 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
24,264.31 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:09:24 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
21,500 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:08:12 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
15.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:15:30 A.M.
-5 min
28 tx
796.29 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:06:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,498.87 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:12:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:12:40 A.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000d0047f63bf1d961503ad222f6f9491570d97d3c94d449f2e7bd3b5943bd5f
21,498.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:12:40 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000c0042b9db1eec5ad0d0fe8fa7ef4782f238f2fb7f1e630dab9d73f51cc2f7