Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 10:08:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,257.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
27x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
21,500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21500 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
Net sender
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,957.23 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Net sender
Unknown type
855.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
432.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,957.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
21,500 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:08:12 A.M.
-1 min
28 tx
796.29 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:06:58 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
24,264.31 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:09:24 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,898.73 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:05:43 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,075.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:04:31 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
15,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:10:41 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:11:56 A.M.
-5 min
54 tx
3,539.54 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/15/2026, 10:03:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
100.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140039f411512ab3da1bf9b200f5d0c20a5377b308c4dd10f74e1ba5b11ad7
261.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a000fe69324f168acee0fe3ee6753ee44392b26236c93efd0194caf70bbb2
104.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000052b71987d44fc60ef209451daf2304b095cf2e11ad33eaf2d2af181d52
100.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030038008d7e3849216298d360fdea4d26408deb10d860f65130880b773632
100.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072004012549b157dbc2e7af4a5f76fbfcc36ffc80c4a40657288f4d46c9b3a
432.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b000989cfcb54b0bcdbd13577239f4cf02ad069a319e911d98b554053ded0
855.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c006be91380cc65b58af8d326c28a117eb380a0d1652ac99a585cb9c0a08d
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00660057c57ec16de4e9d7a751cc739395912169019d087a7f1dcbf0dd7b58e5
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 10:08:17 A.M.
From: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
To: 0x00261a822E3f70A4F1c8C7e377d699eE97684ee6
Tx: 0x004500361e3b6b8f9998cc2779213eb7945b6423c190123557bd607a9c7f6e35