Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 9:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 9:41:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 9:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 109.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.2x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
109.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 109 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 9:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
109.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
109.26 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:41:27 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
666.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:40:15 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:39:04 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:42:38 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:37:53 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
11.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:43:49 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:36:42 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
634.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:45:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
58.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:41:07 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:41:18 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x002b1DC1E213109A1F6105E3B8f759640D26e3d8
Tx: 0x004b0029ff0b6af995dedcc6d86ebb9bde77c7876528271229f049e044e898ce
58.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:41:07 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x0034001e7e82f6c50f2d0c7f64bff8f55dbb7640c227a2c61419ddcea62dde22