Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 9:32:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 9:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,805.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
5,805.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00738584CD6CfC6f78463B1600a51208e221AA42.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5805 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00738584CD6CfC6f78463B1600a51208e221AA42.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,792.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00738584CD6CfC6f78463B1600a51208e221AA42
Net sender
Unknown type
3,723.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
Net sender
Unknown type
2,069.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
12.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015413BF99F3894E32d61D73E67A1E6c327F3D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,792.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:31:43 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:30:30 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5,805.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:32:55 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:34:19 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5,803.6 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:29:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
10,722.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:28:06 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
48.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:35:31 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
31,026.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:26:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,723.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:32:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00738584CD6CfC6f78463B1600a51208e221AA42
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,069.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:32:21 A.M.
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390037f40f62efaa9e5e397f5f900f38b5ffc30387707d7926b303c3b1e643
3,723.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:32:21 A.M.
From: 0x00738584CD6CfC6f78463B1600a51208e221AA42
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c005f3d45be6ce63f910c7281d290e0d7d3041d0e2b9d38b1cd8ba4e2c97c
12.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:32:07 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0015413BF99F3894E32d61D73E67A1E6c327F3D4
Tx: 0x007500564fc6e54302708ae2091fd1a92e92e52661198476c639921ea083bcdf