Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 9:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 9:26:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 9:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,026.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
31,026.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 31027 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 9:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,303.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033702c6f46711D7fA70B35Fd76316f1A9df22F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,723.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,723.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Net sender
Unknown type
304.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,303.24 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
20,375.98 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:25:42 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
19,999.13 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:24:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
31,026.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:26:55 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,722.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:28:06 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:23:18 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
5,803.6 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:29:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
125.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:22:04 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:20:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:26:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
304.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:26:39 A.M.
From: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b00069b4ee45f97c708547ef2d69d003e48d2f76522f6460c9ddef55f0239
19,998.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:26:39 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0060fe435fdd6df1effee1fdb11f8da03a37f1f54e4bec00618e560570ad
10,723.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:26:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033702c6f46711D7fA70B35Fd76316f1A9df22F
To: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Tx: 0x007400017cf70913cfc4fe4c9a9c829a988d530748e4e3c82bf545f44c295442