Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 9:08:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,818.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,818.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1818 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,818.35 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,231.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
Net sender
Unknown type
438.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
148.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,818.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
18,337.21 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:07:39 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,818.35 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:08:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:06:28 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:10:03 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
86,410.21 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:05:15 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:11:20 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
415.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:04:03 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
988.15 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/15/2026, 9:02:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,231.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:08:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,231.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0006b451650e33eb87ceb657fd0d5ca75e871d97d2defd9fb50b84dcf030
438.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036001eb5280089c1ec4524f4fb5b4afe02abb8b8418d4c13883cea93f6f945
148.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 9:08:24 A.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270062047bd7b3d72e355ca678a69063316143bec23901b64fb9a7ac54aa59