Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 8:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 8:00:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 8:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,903.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
29,538.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 29538 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 8:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
29,903.53 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,291 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,742.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net receiver
Unknown type
504.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
Net receiver
Unknown type
365.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 7:59:28 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
29,538.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 8:00:39 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 7:58:17 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,147.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 8:01:51 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 7:57:06 A.M.
+3 min
58 tx
18,101.25 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/15/2026, 8:03:04 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 7:55:53 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
78.33 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/15/2026, 8:04:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,291 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 8:00:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
365.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 8:00:43 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
Tx: 0x0020001325f2dce48977d4785721f619b6e2ad17a123cc3aa237c52743d28b79
504.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 8:00:31 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Tx: 0x0050004922a4d9ad4e3d43b75870f07a093ded950405283cc81bb6e2ef035e22
17,291 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 8:00:14 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x005f00164c211884f34a982e23bc192039709de9776b3871c9b8cb86ff7a816e
11,742.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 8:00:14 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002e1348FC22fC32fCd7cf87e77EF2BF9698595E
Tx: 0x003d001f70825c7cc6824f482f041f26fe32e88286733183927f3d4da71d2727