Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 6:45:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 6:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,000
Unexplained QUAI: 19,998.47
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
26,998.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8 • 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 26998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8 • 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net sender
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:44:29 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
26,998.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:45:40 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
24,250 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:43:18 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:46:51 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:42:07 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:48:03 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
51,569.2 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:40:54 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:49:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:45:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
To: 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
7,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:45:06 A.M.
From: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
To: 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
Tx: 0x00270003a0097f94906a720e50298bdcafa28993d01c1f05df8079ffd76061d2