Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 6:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 6:40:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,569.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
2.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
51,569.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51569 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 6:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
27,455.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Net receiver
Unknown type
27,455.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
24,113.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Net receiver
Unknown type
24,113.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 24,113.83 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:39:43 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:38:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
51,569.2 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:40:54 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:42:07 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
6,459.09 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:37:21 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
24,250 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:43:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
36.45 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:36:10 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:44:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
27,455.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:40:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
27,455.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:40:46 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Tx: 0x006e0011166d5251eee698c6233a7da1aebe52287525f7624341094dc002d175
24,113.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:40:46 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x002253613c1003545eB72768262705BdA71F3188
Tx: 0x005e0023a4438512b292603d791092f591ded087a7f421e7dd13ea7414091882