Spike bucket
09/15/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/15/2026, 6:27:00 A.M. to 09/15/2026, 6:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,578.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
13,578.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13579 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/15/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,578.76 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net sender
Unknown type
6,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,774.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
1,292.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,578.76 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:26:41 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
13,578.76 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:27:51 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
16,051.25 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:25:29 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
9,897.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:29:03 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
431 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:24:17 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:30:14 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:23:06 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/15/2026, 6:31:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
To: 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
6,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
To: 0x0075E98b2CD8EB0299846879156F568Df26D24Eb
Tx: 0x002c00187f9dd5d0e1e6207696d71b53292efcb9d4b72e2bee890258d8a8eaea
1,082.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077007d516d0a84d059185b7d93daff0820997d154de411d7feb3ac0f71345e
994.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x00411C1b51aEC7C8b7F2BB722252ABB6A0DAF086
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c001a56b7dd9e69166221c6ae5a2c173cd31914b38008e3c1daf58732426f
613.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00520835fe3938ebe256e837a5ab803c20d60bdd53d753ff1fc4c3102fa1
1,292.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400004ac0fa2b2765fe6ad56a96fe94cfb6c1931f8e0fb00e7be9c5db46625
987.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006000376f2bc0ea1b2cab140ddbad95047cdc11ee89ca2a0f52e8b5f53dddd6
1,774.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a00580db115f58e4fa358e8edd0f4b9c4912970b08d08a1959ed9ce3a845b
833.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/15/2026, 6:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f003653488591bff19d7ebf1e6a39bf663609b1dae001e87518ec987f9a76